New macroeconomics
The "New Macroeconomics" refers to a set of ideas and approaches that emerged in the 1980s and 1990s, which challenged the traditional Keynesian macroeconomic framework. The new macroeconomics emphasized the importance of microfoundations, rational expectations, and the role of monetary policy in stabilizing the economy.
Some of the key features of the new macroeconomics include:
- Microfoundations: The new macroeconomics emphasized the importance of understanding the behavior of individual economic agents, such as households and firms, in order to understand aggregate economic behavior.
- Rational Expectations: The new macroeconomics assumed that economic agents form their expectations rationally, based on all available information. This led to a focus on the role of expectations in shaping economic outcomes.
- Monetary Policy: The new macroeconomics emphasized the importance of monetary policy in stabilizing the economy, particularly in the face of shocks and uncertainty.
- Real Business Cycle Theory: The new macroeconomics also emphasized the importance of real business cycle theory, which posits that business cycles are driven by real factors, such as technological shocks and changes in productivity, rather than by monetary policy or other nominal factors.
- New Classical Macroeconomics: The new macroeconomics also included the ideas of new classical macroeconomics, which emphasized the importance of market forces and the efficiency of the economy.
Some of the key proponents of the new macroeconomics include:
- Robert Lucas: Lucas is often considered the father of the new macroeconomics. He argued that macroeconomic models should be based on microfoundations and that monetary policy is ineffective in the long run.
- Thomas Sargent: Sargent is another prominent figure in the new macroeconomics. He has made important contributions to the development of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, which are a key feature of the new macroeconomics.
- Edmund Phelps: Phelps is a Nobel laureate who has made important contributions to the development of the new macroeconomics. He has argued that the natural rate of unemployment is not a fixed number, but rather a variable that depends on the state of the economy.
Some of the key criticisms of the new macroeconomics include:
- Lack of empirical support: Some critics have argued that the new macroeconomics has not been supported by empirical evidence, and that the models are too abstract and unrealistic.
- Overemphasis on monetary policy: Some critics have argued that the new macroeconomics has overemphasized the role of monetary policy, and has neglected the importance of fiscal policy and other factors in shaping economic outcomes.
- Inadequate treatment of uncertainty: Some critics have argued that the new macroeconomics has not adequately addressed the role of uncertainty in shaping economic outcomes, and has relied too heavily on assumptions of rational expectations.
Overall, the new macroeconomics has had a significant impact on the field of macroeconomics, and has led to a greater emphasis on microfoundations, rational expectations, and the role of monetary policy in stabilizing the economy. However, it has also been subject to criticism and debate, and its implications for economic policy remain a topic of ongoing research and discussion.