How long will the corona selloff last

It's difficult to predict with certainty how long the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated economic fallout will last. The pandemic is a complex and dynamic situation, and its impact on the global economy is still evolving.

That being said, here are some general insights and predictions from various experts and organizations:

  1. Short-term: The pandemic's economic impact is likely to continue for several months, at least. The World Health Organization (WHO) has warned that the pandemic could last for 18-24 months, and some experts believe it could take even longer.
  2. Medium-term: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has predicted that the global economy will recover in 2021, but it may take several years for the economy to return to pre-pandemic levels. The IMF estimates that the global economy will contract by 3.3% in 2020, followed by a 5.2% growth in 2021.
  3. Long-term: The pandemic's long-term impact on the global economy is still uncertain. Some experts believe that the pandemic could lead to a permanent shift in the global economy, with changes in supply chains, trade patterns, and consumer behavior. Others believe that the economy will eventually recover and return to its pre-pandemic trajectory.

In terms of the stock market, it's difficult to predict when the selloff will end. However, some experts believe that the market may have already bottomed out and that a recovery could begin soon. Others believe that the market may continue to decline for several more months.

Here are some possible scenarios:

  1. V-shaped recovery: The market could experience a rapid recovery, with a sharp decline followed by a quick rebound. This scenario is possible if the pandemic is brought under control quickly and the economy begins to recover rapidly.
  2. U-shaped recovery: The market could experience a slower recovery, with a decline followed by a gradual recovery. This scenario is possible if the pandemic takes longer to bring under control, or if the economy experiences a prolonged period of stagnation.
  3. L-shaped recovery: The market could experience a prolonged decline, with a slow or no recovery. This scenario is possible if the pandemic has a severe and lasting impact on the global economy.

Ultimately, the duration and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic's economic impact will depend on a variety of factors, including the effectiveness of public health measures, the resilience of the global economy, and the response of policymakers and businesses.