Afghan conflict what will taliban do after signing us deal
The Taliban has signed a deal with the United States on February 29, 2020, known as the Doha Agreement, which outlines the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in exchange for the Taliban's commitment to reduce violence and engage in peace talks with the Afghan government. Here are some possible scenarios of what the Taliban might do after signing the deal:
- Reduce violence: The Taliban has committed to reducing violence and attacks on US and coalition forces, as well as Afghan government forces. They may scale back their military operations and focus on negotiating with the Afghan government.
- Engage in peace talks: The Taliban has agreed to participate in intra-Afghan talks with the Afghan government, which could lead to a negotiated settlement on the country's political future. These talks may focus on issues like power-sharing, constitutional reforms, and the role of the Taliban in the government.
- Release prisoners: The Taliban has agreed to release up to 5,000 prisoners, including some high-ranking members of the group, as part of the deal. This could help to reduce tensions and create a more conducive environment for peace talks.
- Maintain control over territory: The Taliban has significant control over large swaths of territory in Afghanistan, particularly in rural areas. They may continue to maintain control over these areas, potentially using them as a base for future operations.
- Seek recognition as a political entity: The Taliban may seek international recognition as a legitimate political entity, which could lead to diplomatic relations with other countries and potentially even recognition by the Afghan government.
- Negotiate with other factions: The Taliban may also engage in negotiations with other factions within Afghanistan, including warlords and ethnic groups, to build alliances and strengthen their position.
- Maintain ties with Pakistan: The Taliban has historically maintained close ties with Pakistan, which has provided them with support and sanctuary. They may continue to maintain these ties, potentially using Pakistan as a base for future operations.
- Focus on internal governance: The Taliban may focus on building a more effective and efficient internal governance structure, potentially establishing a more centralized government and improving their ability to provide services to the population.
- Seek economic opportunities: The Taliban may seek to capitalize on the economic opportunities presented by the withdrawal of US troops, potentially engaging in trade and commerce with other countries.
- Prepare for future conflict: Despite the deal, the Taliban may still be preparing for future conflict, potentially maintaining their military capabilities and waiting for an opportunity to launch a new insurgency.
It's worth noting that the Taliban's actions will likely be influenced by a range of factors, including the outcome of intra-Afghan talks, the level of international support for the Afghan government, and the group's own internal dynamics.